Category Archives: United Arab Emirates

Muslim Ban? Fragile States?

 

Here’s Trump’s list of banned Muslim countries in red, and the ones where he has business interests are in gold. The unlabeled one at the uper right is Azerbaijan.

Trump's Muslim Ban Countries

Trump’s Muslim Ban Countries

And here’s a fragile states index for the region.

Fragile States Worst

Fragile States Worst

The banned countries are places where the governments have basically collapsed. People are complaining about the relationship between Trump businesses and the presence or absence of a ban. I’m not justifying, nor am I criticizing, I’m just noting that here is some data that hasn’t commonly appeared in conjunction with the coverage of the issue.

This map originally appeared in Fragile States Index 2016.

Former HSV-2 Swift Destroyed Off Yemen

This is the HSV-2 Swift in good shape and under way.

HSV-2 Swift Under Way

HSV-2 Swift Under Way

She was returned to builder Incat, leased to the United Arab Emirates, and I believe the vessel is going to be salvaged after a missile attack off Yemen. This ship is largely aluminum, I see a lot of shock damage, the strike video shows a lot of fire, and all of the electronics and accommodations are torched. The engines are (I think) to the rear and can presumably be reused, but the front half of this vessel doesn’t look suitable for restoration.

HSV-2 Swift Damage #1

HSV-2 Swift Damage #1

HSV-2 Swift Damage #2

HSV-2 Swift Damage #2

HSV-2 Swift Damage #3

HSV-2 Swift Damage #3

HSV-2 Swift Damage #4

HSV-2 Swift Damage #4

Partisan made videos show the launch of a land based missile, claimed to be a Chinese made C-802, but the damage doesn’t look like 330 pounds of high explosives. There were small boats in the area that filmed the strike(s) and subsequent fire. Use of an HJ-8 anti-tank missile or similar weapon seems much more likely than a captured anti-ship missile.

The sea region around Yemen is the Gulf of Aden, which is patrolled by Combined Task Force 151, which was created due to piracy originating in Somalia. Broader regional security of the seas is provided by Combined Task Force 150. If Yemeni Houthi truly had control of a stock of C-802 they could do much more damage than torching a lightly built transport.